Ksenia Kirillova: Russian propaganda blackmails Nikol Pashinyan

Armenia: Russian PM calls for immediate ceasefire in Nagorno-Karabakh

Ksenia Kirillova: Russian propaganda blackmails Nikol Pashinyan

Armenia is ready to make concessions to Azerbaijan on condition of mutual steps. Azerbaijan rejects negotiations, but agrees to create humanitarian corridors

The second week of the military conflict between the armed forces of Nagorno-Karabakh and Armenia, on the one hand, and the advancing troops of Azerbaijan, on the other, has begun. The Nagorno-Karabakh authorities say that 21 more servicemen were killed in heavy fighting from Monday to Tuesday. The number of civilian casualties has also increased in recent days..

“As of yesterday evening, 19 civilians were killed and another 80 were injured. This is the result of indiscriminate attacks on residential buildings and civilian infrastructure, ”said Arsen Torosyan, Minister of Health of Armenia.

In turn, the Azerbaijani authorities report about 8 killed and dozens of wounded civilians. At the same time, they hide statistics on military losses. Local battles in Nagorno-Karabakh periodically occur along the entire length of the line of contact with Azerbaijan. The situation is changing very quickly. Trains of cars with refugees stretch from various regions to Stepanakert. On Tuesday, the Armenian Defense Ministry announced that the Azerbaijani army had launched an offensive in the south of Karabakh near the city of Jabrail. The day before, the Azerbaijani military department published video footage of captured artillery positions, allegedly left by the Armenian military in the village of Chahirli.

On Monday, Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan visited the territory of Nagorno-Karabakh, where he discussed the current situation with the military leadership of the unrecognized republic. On Tuesday, Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan said in an interview with Agence France-Presse that Armenia and Nagorno-Karabakh are ready to make concessions to resolve the conflict, but only if Azerbaijan also accepts them..

“Conflicts should be resolved on the basis of mutual concessions. Nagorno-Karabakh is ready, and Armenia is ready, to respond to the concessions that Azerbaijan will be ready for, “Nikol Pashinyan said..

In Baku, they continue to answer that there will be no peace talks with Yerevan until the armed formations of Armenia leave the territory of Nagorno-Karabakh and adjacent areas, which are internationally recognized Azerbaijani territory..

On Tuesday, Turkish Foreign Minister Mevlut Cavusoglu arrived in Azerbaijan, where he expressed support for President Ilham Aliyev and said that truth and right are on the side of Azerbaijan, and therefore now the truce is meaningless. Moreover, a high-ranking Turkish official once again rejected calls from the international community to stop the war and start a negotiation process..

The Azerbaijani military is ready to open humanitarian corridors for the Armenian population in the conflict zone in Nagorno-Karabakh, Report informs citing the press service of the Azerbaijani Defense Ministry. The norms and principles of international law will apply to everyone who wants to leave the combat zone, said Anar Eyvazov, press secretary of the Azerbaijani military department. At the same time, he added that the servicemen of the Armenian army, who decided to surrender voluntarily, can also leave the humanitarian corridors..

Recall that just a few days ago, Nikol Pashinyan, in his video address to the nation, stated that for the Armenians the defense of Nagorno-Karabakh is a war for the right to exist, and that Azerbaijanis and Turks would like to arrange a new genocide of Armenians..

Washington called on Armenia and Azerbaijan for an immediate ceasefire for the second time. On Monday, US Deputy Secretary of State Stephen Bigan held separate talks with the foreign ministers of Azerbaijan and Armenia. The State Department said in a statement that the United States expressed “deep concern over the escalation of the war and the expansion of the theater of operations in the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict.”.

In turn, Moscow – Yerevan’s ally in the CSTO – again expressed concern about the transfer of militants from abroad to the Karabakh region. The head of the Russian Foreign Intelligence Service, Sergei Naryshkin, said in a statement that Karabakh risks becoming a “springboard for terrorist groups.” Later, Syrian President Bashar al-Assad made a similar statement..

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Ksenia Kirillova, An analyst at The Jamestown Foundation, based on an analysis of Russian state propaganda and social media close to the Kremlin, claims that Moscow is hesitating to help Yerevan, as they want to teach a lesson to Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan for his pro-Western foreign policy.

“Russian propaganda very clearly states that there is no point in helping Armenia if, as they say, I quote literally, the anti-Russian policy continues. By the way, they really want to use this situation as much as possible for internal propaganda, for internal discourse, trying on this again to raise imperial and great-power ambitions. Saying, well, look, we are really a great country, because they themselves came running to us. Lukashenka came. Here Pashinyan came to us. What happened is impossible without Russia, ”says Ksenia Kirillova.

According to Ksenia Kirillova, it is not profitable for the Russian leadership to help Armenia now, as this could negatively affect the existing close military-political and economic relations of Moscow with Ankara and Baku..

“It is not profitable for Russia to support Armenia, because, firstly, it is unprofitable to aggravate relations with Turkey, and secondly, according to official data, a million representatives of the Azerbaijani diaspora live in Russia, at least in Moscow. And according to unofficial data, three million. And among them are very influential business clans. Let’s take only Agalarov, whose son Emin became a star in the American media in connection with the topic of Russian interference [in the 2016 elections – ed.], “Adds Ksenia Kirillova, an expert at the Jamestown Foundation..

The Kremlin is well aware that “the situation in Karabakh is degrading and people are dying,” Dmitry Peskov, press secretary of the Russian president, said at a press conference in Moscow. Moreover, according to Peskov, Russia’s efforts are now focused on “helping the belligerent parties to cease fire and begin a political and diplomatic settlement process.”.

The Russian-Armenian consultations of the working groups on the settlement of the conflict in Nagorno-Karabakh are most likely going on behind closed doors, Ksenia Kirillova admits. However, she emphasizes that Russian journalists are literally blackmailing Nikol Pashinyan with their messages on social networks..

“Russian propaganda and channels close to the authorities – to the presidential administration – are switching to direct blackmail, one might even say so, of the Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan. That is, they say in plain text that, in general, Armenia itself is to blame for this situation, because it has moved away from Russia and the only way for Armenia to survive is to return to the orbit of Russia, that is, completely under Russian influence. This is actually a loss of sovereignty. For example, RT editor-in-chief Margarita Simonyan writes in plain text on her Twitter and telegram channel that allegedly in the Moscow guests they are discussing that Armenia is doomed to return to Russia or doomed. That is, in principle, it is doomed! The Nezigar telegram channel, which is known for leaking Kremlin insider information, listed twelve conditions under which Russia would supply Pashinyan with an offensive weapon. Among them we see: recognition of Crimea as part of Russia; state status of the Russian language; economic integration with the Eurasian Union; and then what is interesting is the activation of the Armenian diaspora in the EU and the USA to lobby for the lifting of anti-Russian sanctions. And further, a direct blow to relations between Armenia and the United States – that is, Russia demands a reduction in the number of American diplomats in Armenia and a ban on a number of NGOs, which they call anti-Russian. Of course, this is not being voiced by officials, but at least this is being voiced by telegram channels close to the presidential administration and Russian propaganda. In the form of various talk shows, this idea is also broadcasted in plain text. And Russian military analysts do not hesitate to say that until Armenia returns to Russia, we will not provide assistance. Because, well, that’s why we provide assistance to Armenia, which already adheres to an anti-Russian position. This is their message! ”

Recently, two Russian businessmen of Armenian origin – Samvel Karapetyan and Ruben Vardanyan – the founder of the Troika Dialog investment company and the co-founder of the Skolkovo Moscow School of Management – appealed to Russian President Vladimir Putin to intervene in the situation in Nagorno-Karabakh, where the fighting has been going on for the second week. Vardanyan called the conflict a “geopolitical time bomb”, which in the future could affect the entire region and Russia, including.

Russian President Vladimir Putin is aware of the appeal of entrepreneurs, said his press secretary Dmitry Peskov and added that “it is difficult to imagine more active steps than now.”.

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